RTHK - The Close: China fiscal stimulus- good money after bad?. The US Presidential Election - political & market outcome. . The Middle East - which war now? Read More

The Mini Podcast on Macro that may matter to markets - US Presidential, China Stimulus, Israel & Iranian assets - the "Big If". Read More

There will be a bear market in the next 12 months. The DNA of the bear market is writ large: the inevitable war on Iran’s nuclear weapons capabilities; Russia and Ukraine again becoming economically relevant to markets; unrequited market expectations for growt... Read More

The US Swing State Polls & the Crafting of the Israeli Retaliatory Attack on Iran. Read More

A war on Iran's nuclear assets is inevitable within a year. That is the geopolitical event that will produce a market meltdown because any attack on nuclear weapons facilities raises the risk of the terminal value of your assets being zero, Read More

I got the Iranian attack on Israel wrong. All now depends on Israel's targeting of its escalatory response. If Israel uses its intelligence to decapitate the Iranian regime (and the IRGC), as it did with Hezbollah, then the economic spillover effects (e.g. energy)) will be limit... Read More

Harris more likely to win. Middle East why further Israeli escalation will not provoke Iranian reaction? What do Ishiba victory & coming elections mean for Asia? Ukraine whither now that Zelensky's visit to the US and the Peace plan has failed? China: why the big baz... Read More

Israeli airstrike against Hezbollah makes the Middle East Armageddon more unlikely. Read More

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More