President Trump – Love Him or Hate Him – Don’t Underestimate Him! Investment Conclusion: When a big ship goes full circle in a stormy sea, it creates what is known as a 'Duck Pool' of calm water (once use to land naval sea planes). That lasts a while before the big... Read More

Trump: Donald J. Trump @realDonald Trump CONGRATULATIONS TO EVERYONE! It has been fully agreed by and between Israel and Iran that there will be a Complete and Total CEASEFIRE (in approximately 6 hours from now, when Israel and Iran have wound down and completed their ... Read More

ME- First the Bang. Now the Whimper! Investment Conclusion The time of maximum risk is over. The Mullahs will shift to survival mode. They will not seek to escalate militarily – though a few revenge suicide bombings could happen. Any significant escalation by Iran ... Read More

ME – No Taco but Attack Investment Conclusion. President Trump has not gone TACO on Iran. The US will attack Iran’s nuclear asserts (e.g. Fordow) if Iran does not totally surrender its nuclear assets in short shift. No more negotiations. No more ducking and weaving. No... Read More

ME- Portfolio on War Footing Investment Conclusion President Trump has shifted his stance to demanding “unconditional surrender” of Iran. If this is not just rhetoric or a negotiating ploy, it opens the way to escalation of the war. Israel and the US would then ... Read More

Israel Vs Iran Update: The Thin Edge of Judgement Investment Conclusion The war will last longer than the Israeli lightning-strikes that the market is used to. It can also tip into a war focussed on regime-change (as Israel ambitions) or a pause for President Tr... Read More

Middle East: Good Cop, Bad Cop & The Bactrian Camel Investment Conclusion The Israeli attack on Iran was coordinated with the US. The strategy is intended to force Iran to denuclearise on President Trump’s terms. Thus escalation will be limited for now as Ira... Read More