Tariffs – Death By 52 cuts & Counting Tariffs announced in the Rose Garden today raise US average effective tariffs to 25%. That’s quite an exogenous shock given they were 3% when President Trump too office! These tariffs are not transitional. They are core to Pres... Read More
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30 Mar 25
Tariffying!
#Geo-economics#Geostrategy#Protectionism#Tariffs#Geopolitics#Equity Bear Market#Geopolitical Fragmentation#Secular Bear Markets#Bear Markets#Global Geopolitics#Geopolitical Disruption#Trump Tariffs.#US Tariffs#Remedial Tariffs
Tariffying! US “remedial” tariffs to be announced on April 2 will raise the US effective tariff rate to above 15% - a level not seen since the Great Depression era. This is above the level needed to cause Tariff-Induced-Stagflation in the US economy. The announcement will co... Read More
14 Mar 25
Money Talk with Peter Lewis & Francis Lun
It is all about Trump. Read More
25 Feb 25
Money Talk with Peter Lewis, Barry Wood, Simon.Kavanagh & little old me.
#Tariffs#Russia#Russian Energy#NATO#Chancellor of Germany#German Bundestag#Ukraine War#EU NATO#German Constitution#Russia's Economy#German Election Results#AfD (Alternative for Germany)#Russian Influence#Trump Tariffs.#Tariffs China Mexico Canada#US Tariffs#Remedial Tariffs#Trump Russian Business Deal
Robust conversation on: * German Election: the next four years are critical for the german economy, defence, europe. Domestically, in order to deprive the AfD of youth and lower income groups’ support, the economy must become the rising tide to lift all boats. * US Trump ... Read More
24 Feb 25
US Key Tariff Dates
#Tariffs#US-China Trade War#Trade War#Trump Tariffs.#Tariffs China Mexico Canada#US Tariffs#Remedial Tariffs#EU-US Trade War
Tariffs will continue to be a source of instability in markets. The McKinley Factor, (January 26, 2025) & The Anatomy of Exceptionalism , ( February 10, 2025) analysed the key role of tariffs in President Trump’s thinking and how this influenced how they were used. No need ... Read More
17 Feb 25
RTHK THe Close
#China Stimulus#Trade Wars#NATO#US-China Trade War#Economy (China)#Trump Tariffs.#Munich Security Conference#US Retail
RTHK The Close China: the revival in high tech fortunes and the blessings of Xi. PLus the latest credit figures show traction.. US: Retail data- does weakness spell the end of the Trump miracle and what to expect from Tariffs. Munich- the weakness of the west is a big... Read More
15 Feb 25
Rough Calculation of potential US Reciprocal - Remedial Tariffs
Brace Yourself! Reciprocal US Tariffs. - tariffs likely to be announced April. These are not in market prices. The report sent you on Friday 15, 2025 - The Anatomy of Exceptionalism- deals with the categories of Tariffs President Trump is likely to impose see Chap... Read More
13 Feb 25
Ukraine: Worse than Minsk
#Russia#Ukraine#EU Commission#Trump Policy#Trump Administration#Donald Trump#EU (European Union)#Ukraine War#Russia's Economy#Global Alliances#Currency (US Dollar)#Russian Influence#Deglobalisation#Deglobalization#Alliance of Autocracies#Alliance of Democracies#Trump Tariffs.
The liberal world order, if not dead, is very ill in bed. What replaces it will not be orderly or come cheap. States, previously part a network of alliances, will go it alone to ensure their own defense and strategic interests. There will be a massive increase in defence... Read More
05 Feb 25
CNBC Market Alert: - Why US "exceptionalism" will fail this year
CNBC Market Alert: - Why US "exceptionalism" will fail this year and how tariffs will be a major cause. Read More
04 Feb 25
CNBC News Talk: Trump and Europe the Visceral Hate Thing
CNBC News Talk: Trump and Europe the Visceral Hate Thing Read More
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