This is a three way 30 min debate on where in the poltical spectrum US - India relations will settle. And it is cert... Read More
05:12:17 GMT
Quantum Strategy
Enhancing your ability to understand and manage Macro-Turbulence.
Our focus is on two intersects of world affairs:
The first is when history is no guide to the future.
The second is when geo-politics determine economics.
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David Roche
Latest Media
NDTV The Big Question: David Roche - Are US-Indian Relations Back On Track?
Your Latest Strategic Recommendations
Stay short US$. US Equities and other bubbe assets will rise to a crescendo. Stay away. Rally in US long term bonds wll be short lived & yield curve will steepen
22 Aug 2025
Stay short US$. Don't get sucked into US asset bubbles. The drop in US long bond yields is purely temporary
22 Aug 2025
Long Hong Kong Equity positions are being cut.
18 Aug 2025
US Yield Steepeners are attractive. The US $ is not. Short long Treasuries.. Use Yen as a long anchow for US$ shorts.. Unjustifiably lower rates by the Fed might keep the equity market up a while longer. But we stay out or short US equities
11 Aug 2025
Selling long positions in Germany & EU. Reinstating long Yen safe haven position
04 Aug 2025
no change - the deal is bad for the US and worse for Europe. stay out of US assets and EU equities
28 Jul 2025
David Roche
I was born in Ireland which I left as soon as possible with ambitions to write. I studied at Trinity, INSEAD and did a CFA and C Dip Af on the side.
Before setting up Quantum Economics I was a strategist at JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley and Independent Strategy.
My inspirations are tectonic plateshifts, like the Fall of the Wall; the Russian invasion of Ukraine; the death of liberal economics and globalisation. So my mind fires up when history is no guide but creative thinking is.
Where there is discontinuity there is value in strategic thinking. Where general preoccupation is the Fed’s next move there is not.
Jorge Luis Borges once said that most novels shouldn't have been written because they would have been better short stories. I write micro-books. Here are some of them, which you can find on the Books page:
- New Monetarism (2008)
- Sovereign Discredit (2010)
- Democrisis (2012)
- Death of Democracy (2018)
- Quantum Economics (2022)
- Living in the Grayzone (2024)
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