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Tag: Central Banks
09 Dec 24

Quantum Strategy David Roche - The Mini Podcast of Macro That Matters to Markets!

Quantum Strategy David Roche - The Mini Podcast of Macro That Matters to Markets! China's deflation continues- why it matters? Syria- the two scenarios and how critical they are. ECB - what to expect. US Inflation - service price figures critical Read More

01 Nov 24

Central Bank Forecast post US Non-Farm Payrolls

US Non-Farm Payrolls : The Non-Farm Payrolls report shows that only 12,000 positions were added in October (much lower than the exp. 100k, average compiled by Dow Jones) US Unemployment rate is unchanged at 4.1%, in line with expectations. The Bureau of Labor Statistic... Read More

19 Sep 24

Fed satisfies the market but not the mind

The US Fed's "Jumbo" 50bp cut in fed fund rates to 4.5% to 5% was not what the well balanced economy needed. It is a step into monetarist populism by the central bank. It unwarrantedly biases Fed policy towards unemployment. . It gives the wrong signal as to where the equilibrium... Read More

12 Sep 24

Central Banks: Heads Up & Heading Down

IN the short term the Fed and the ECB will cut policy rates by 25 bp - no jumbo cuts, Over the easing cycle the ECB will have to cut policy rates more and for longer than the Fed. The EU is entering a period of secular economic decay. The Draghi report speaks not just to the US... Read More

28 Aug 24

Squawk Box Europe - Debating the Fed - excess focus on unemployment and self exoneration for post-covid ”transitory” inflation?

CNBC Squawk Box - Jackson Hole

Is the Fed over-focussed on unemployment rather than inflation? And is its self-exoneration from causing post-covid inflation credible? Read More

26 Aug 24
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