This is a good debate on the workings of a trade war, who pays and why the US suffers most. We spend time analysing why the US concept that it holds the cards is just plain wrong and is a miconception of escalatory dominance in a trade war. We look at who will suffer most and w... Read More

Re-Assessment of Tariff Damage and the Spillovers to Expect. Yesterday i wrote to you after the initial Trump volte face on the imposition of reciprocal tariffs (postponed for 90 days) and the imposition of 125% tariffs on China. I calculated that the average US tariff w... Read More

Re-Assessment of Tariff Damage and the Spillovers to Expect. Yesterday i wrote to you after the initial Trump volte face on the imposition of reciprocal tariffs postponed for 90 days and the imposition of 125% tariffs on China. I calculated that the average US tariff was... Read More

The Gentleman is for turning Tariffs are still in mega-shock terrain: US average tariffs after April 10 volte face are 26% Vs 3% when President Trump took office. That’s 1% higher than if reciprocal tariffs had been implemented. What has changed is that Trump behavi... Read More

Quantifying what Trump means for US GDP & Others' Read More

Robust conversation on: * German Election: the next four years are critical for the german economy, defence, europe. Domestically, in order to deprive the AfD of youth and lower income groups’ support, the economy must become the rising tide to lift all boats. * US Trump ... Read More

Tariffs will continue to be a source of instability in markets. The McKinley Factor, (January 26, 2025) & The Anatomy of Exceptionalism , ( February 10, 2025) analysed the key role of tariffs in President Trump’s thinking and how this influenced how they were used. No need ... Read More

CNBC Market Alert: - Why US "exceptionalism" will fail this year and how tariffs will be a major cause. Read More

CNBC News Talk: Trump and Europe the Visceral Hate Thing Read More

RTHK The Close: Carolyn Wright speaks with David Roche, President and Global Strategist at Quantum Strategy, and Hugh Chung, Chief Investment Officer at Endowus about the news impacting the global financial markets. Topics include tariffs, AI and India. Read More