Money Talk with Peter Lewis, Carlos Casanova & me debating: 1. the global economic and market effects of the US-European Ukraine Summit 2. Has Trump galvanised the Global South to become a new trading bloc which will unseat the US$ as Global Reserve and Trading Currenc... Read More
How the tariffs are becoming tools of hate not weapons of the economy and the irrational patchwork that this creates. Hong Kong as a safe haven from what is to come? Read More
President Trump’s Putin Pivot Investment Conclusion Trump’s Pivot on Putin is probably due to a sense of personnel betrayal. This is likely to make it more durable than if it was based on a moral policy vision. The pivot has the potential to change the battlefield in ... Read More
Trade Update Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025 Investment Conclusion The range and level of tariff threats made by the US this week is not something President Trump can go TACO on. Indeed the accusation that he is TACO on Tariffs probably is a factor behind the current... Read More
Peter Lewis: Money Talk.with David Roche. What is the significance to markets of Trump’s week of Pronouncements on tariffs. Here we discuss the economic significance of tariffs and for how long markets can ignore them. Read More
RTHK The Close: Carolyn Wyat, Richard Harris, and David Roche talk about what China data is telling us about the effect of tariffs. Then we explain why markets will ignore the latest Trump pronouncements for a short whike but not forever, Read More
Parsing FOMC Minutes and Tariff Announcements I parsed the FOMC minutes. I think the Fed will hang tough. Seems only Bowman & Waller want to cut. All the others more worried about inflation than the labour market. I expect inflation to rise sharply & durably in... Read More
Interregnum Investment Conclusion This is a short-term interregnum of peace and happiness which will not last long. On May 23 the portfolio sold 10% of safe haven assets (oil & gold) and bought European equities and the Euro. It is probable that President Tru... Read More
RTHK The Close: Richard Harris, Carolyn Wright & David Roche : will july be Trump Taco or Armageddon time Read More
Three ideas: Trump is more likely to escalate than de-escalate after the International Trade Court ruling. What does this mean for markets. And the escaltion of Russian hostilities in Europe - one to watch and which markets are ignoring Read More