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Quantum Strategy
Enhancing your ability to understand and manage Macro-Turbulence.
Our focus is on two intersects of world affairs:
The first is when history is no guide to the future.
The second is when geo-politics determine economics.
We do this with products designed for the needs of clients whether you are managing assets and need to forecast markets; or a shipping company that needs to control geopolitical risk; or a government building a geopolitical or a defence policy. The scale of our client cooperation and its success determines the cost.
What Quantum Strategy does, and why it matters.
David Roche
Go long oil and LNG
27 Feb 2025
Buy German equities
24 Feb 2025
Buy German Equities
23 Feb 2025
Buy Gold, Oil, LNG, Inflation linked bonds, Defence stocks China AI producers and the Yen.
18 Feb 2025
Sell US Excepttionalism assets including the US$..
14 Feb 2025
Sell US$ & Equities
06 Feb 2025
a game-changer for China and Chinese tech assets
28 Jan 2025
Re balance portfolios away from US markets to peer developed markets and reduce US$ overwirght positions.
28 Jan 2025
Stay long Brent oil as insurance
13 Jan 2025
Bear Market 2025 and global recession - sell bubble assets and raise cash,
08 Jan 2025
David Roche
I was born in Ireland which I left as soon as possible with ambitions to write. I studied at Trinity, INSEAD and did a CFA and C Dip Af on the side.
Before setting up Quantum Economics I was a strategist at JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley and Independent Strategy.
My inspirations are tectonic plateshifts, like the Fall of the Wall; the Russian invasion of Ukraine; the death of liberal economics and globalisation. So my mind fires up when history is no guide but creative thinking is.
Where there is discontinuity there is value in strategic thinking. Where general preoccupation is the Fed’s next move there is not.
Jorge Luis Borges once said that most novels shouldn't have been written because they would have been better short stories. I write micro-books. Here are some of them, which you can find on the Books page:
- New Monetarism (2008)
- Sovereign Discredit (2010)
- Democrisis (2012)
- Death of Democracy (2018)
- Quantum Economics (2022)
- Living in the Grayzone (2024)