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10 Feb 25

The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters

#Tariffs#China#Trump#Israel#Iran#Crude Oil Price#President Putin#Netanyahu

The Micro Podcast on Macro Matter. Trump's tariffs and China's measured but lethal response. Netanyahu manipulated Trump into cementing him in office as Israel's PM. That makes more war in Gaza more likely. And does it mean that Netanyahu will be able to manipulate Tr... Read More

03 Feb 25

The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters

#China#Trump#Trump Policy#Canada#Mexico#US-China Trade War#Trump Administration#US-China Trade Relations#China Renminbi#Trump Tariffs.#Tariffs China Mexico Canada

David Roche- Quantum Strategy - The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters: Trump - Tariffs - and You! Indian Exceptionalism! The BoE and its coming 25 bp contribution to UK economic mediocrity... .....And this weeks data that may matter to markets Read More

28 Jan 25

DeepSeek – Deeply Seeking the Significance.

#Tariffs#China#Tech Disruption#Geopolitical Disruption#Tech Sanction Policy.

DeepSeek disrupts Tech creating as many winners (AI users) as losers (the overhyped US Magnificent 7 and Chatbot purveyors). It puts Chinese selected tech companies back on the radar for international investors. But most of all it hefts China’s strategic position in the Greyzone... Read More

27 Jan 25

Peter Lewis - Money Talk - Monday, January 27, 2025

#Tariffs#China#Trump#Alliances#US Federal Reserve Independence.#the USD#Cash injections to equity markets

Peter Lewis Money Talk - a great discussion of US policy, the break down of alliances and investment implications; Federal Reseve independence and the USD; and whether measures to shut China out of tech will result in China passing the US out. Read More

13 Jan 25

The Mini-Podcast on Macro

#Asia#Trade#Sanctions#China#Trump#Central Banks#Geopolitics#Russia#ECB#Shadow Fleet#FOMC#Baltic Sea#Oil Prices#Grayzone Warfare#Russian Energy#Russian Energy Exports.

David Roche- Quantum Strategy- The Mini Podcast on Macro Matters: US jobs blow out- what it tells us about the Fed going forward. China exports - tell us shipping ahead of Tariffs will create a growth vacuum later. US sanctions on Russian energy - why and how th... Read More

08 Jan 25

Astern!

#US#EU#Greyzone Warfare#Protectionism#Sanctions#Energy#China#Trump#Central Banks#Geopolitics#Volatility#Russia#Ukraine#Yen#US Fed#Middle East#Israel#Iran#ECB#Markets#IDF#Putin#Moscow#Macro Uncertainty#Market Volatility#China Stimulus#US Labor Market#Escalation#Trump Policy#Syria#French Sovereign Debt#Korea#Hamas#FOMC#US Federal Reserve#US$#Taiwan#S.Korea#Undersea Cable#Undersea Cables#Martial Law#Yoon Suk Yeol#Grayzone Warfare

We're in for a bear market in most asset classes during 2025. This piece integrates the macro and micro reasons for that conviction. The core conviction is that macro-risk is out of synch with market volatility. This will be resolved by market volatility rising as macro ... Read More

30 Dec 24

RTHK The Close with Carolyn Wright and David Roche

#Trade#Tariffs#China#Russia#Putin#China Real Estate#China Stimulus#Trump Policy#Undersea Cables#President Jimmy Carter

RTRHK The Close. The Legacy of Jimmy Carter. China's data - industrial profits and a look into the things to watch in 2025. Putin's game plan under the Baltic Sea. The surprises for 2025: reversal of Fed policy; The war to end all wars between Iran and Israel; Put... Read More

30 Dec 24

The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters.

#Asia#China#Trump#Central Banks#Environment#Russia#Ukraine#Israel#Iran#ECB#Putin#Ishiba#China Real Estate#China Stimulus#Dark Fleet#US Federal Reserve#Baltic Sea#Baltic States#Undersea Cables

Quantum Strategy - David Roche - The Micro Podcast on Macro! Sign on for Free Research Trial: https://www.QuantumStrategy.org Coming up his week: - The pulling forward of demand in China that will create gaps in demand later: Exports, Consumer Durables, Autos and... Read More

26 Dec 24

China PLA Purge & S. Korean Constutuionl Crisis.

#China#PLA#Taiwan#S.Korea

The relevance of China purges and Korean Constitutional crisis to investors: China - Purge. This brings to 20 the senior officer purged in the last 18 months. The purpose is bring the PLA more under Xi’s direct control. It helps tranform the PLA into a more honed ... Read More

23 Dec 24

CNBC: Europe: Steve & I on whether the only word we need to learn to pronounce next year is "Trump" to which we added Xi, Putin ...

#US#Protectionism#Tariffs#Sanctions#Oil#China#US Election#Trump#Monetary Policy#Russia#Ukraine#US Fed#Chairman Powell#France#Japan#IDF#Putin#Moscow#Hezbollah#Macro Uncertainty#China Stimulus#Trump Policy#Turkey#French Sovereign Debt#French Government#Hamas#FOMC#US Federal Reserve

A short history of 2025 - starting with how the reign of Trump could go wrong or right and then applying the same doomster methodology to reading the cards for Xi and Putin.......finishing with a modest forecast for the little old UK. Read More

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