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The Phoney Peace?
The Phoney Peace? Investment Conclusion The market reaction to reduced US-China tariffs is unwarranted. The S&P 500 has clawed back all of its post Liberation Day losses and is only 5% below its peak. The existing tariffs and uncertainty will do a lot more dam…
Port of los angeles data for next three weeks. Issued on 05.11.2025
Port of los Angeles data for next three weeks: inward Container Ship Traffic. Issued on 05.11.2025 The big recovery in weeks out has gone. We are looking at a 20% to 25% decline in container ship arrivals. That equates to a “stop” of Chinese inward container traffic to LA…
The Wealth Preservation Portfolio
Wealth Preservation Portfolio - Weekly Update - 05.07.2025 The markets are priced for a normalisation of global trade. I do not believe this will happen. The conversation between China and the US will not lead us back to normal trade. Tariffs will settle at 20% on average…
RTHK - The Close
Movie Tariffs and the dangerous precedent of putting tariffs on services.
Taiwan & HK: Butterfly Wings & Chaos?
Taiwan & HK: Butterfly Wings & Chaos? Investment Conclusion. The Taiwanese dollar (TWD) and the Hong Kong dollar (HKD) are under upward pressure. There are idiosyncratic reasons for this delved into below. But the real culprit is the fall of confidence in the USD. …
Peter Lewis Money Talk
An in-depth discussion of Trump policies on Tariffs and Alliances. Mark Nicholsen, Barry Woods, Peter Lewis and David Roche discuss: has uncertainty peaked? Why no damage yet to US economy? The delay factor inherent in disruption to supply chains. The future of the US$ safe have…
China: No Pushover!
China: No Pushover! Investment Conclusion I would not be in any hurry to participate in the current market rally in equities, bonds or the US$. The US equity market today tells us the world is only 9% worse off than when President Trump took office and as…
China Spokesperson Statement on US Tariff Talks
China Spokesperson Statement on US Tariff Talks This is the statement (translated) this morning" “China has noted the repeated statements from senior US officials expressing a willingness to negotiate with China on tariff issues. At the same time, the US side has r…
CNBC Squawk Box - the Untimely Death of the Dollar & the Tragic Demise of US Exceptionalism
Why the US war on trade is fatal for US$ role as reserve currency and US Exceptionalism. What does this mean for US stocks & Treasuries?
RTHK: The Close with Carolyn Wright and Richard Harris
A great discussion on the power struggle between the US & China. Why China has escalation dominance. What it means for US assets, The European angle in new alliances with China?