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NDTV The Emporer has no tariffs! What next for India?
What now for India?
NDTV Profit: US Inflation Reset? Quantum Strategy's David Roche on Trump's Tariff Defeat & What Happens Now
Is striking down IEEPA a risk on orvrisk off event? What does it mean for the global and US economies and geopolitics?
US Supreme Court Ruling Against IEEPA: The Emperor Has No Tariffs!
The US Supreme Court (SC) decision was in part anticipated by markets. So, it will not cause their collapse. Emerging markets, which get lower tariffs than IEEPA rate will have a rally on this result. India and China are examples. But business is not as usual. Uncerta…
Navigator
Navigator Investment Conclusion The Middle East is still heading for a US-Iran war. But the timing is put back to end March (reasons below). The Munich Conference was a calming affair. But that is just a paint job. Beneath, the transatlantic alliance is deepl…
Navigator
Navigator. There are no changes in the Wealth Preservation Portfolio (WPP) this week. But shorts on Japanese equities and the Yen are now back on the radar screen. WPP appears at the end of this report The most likely scenario in the Middle East is that Iranian negoti…
Thailand – All Change Here for the Worse.
Thailand – All Change Here for the Worse. Monday, Investment Conclusion We have no exposure to Thailand. The election result does not make me want to have any.
Japan Election - Follow Up
Japan Election - Follow Up Investment Conclusion There is no change in strategy: short 10yr JGBs; Neutral Nikkei and Yen (but considering a short Vs SGD, AUD and RMB (where I am already long)). The LDP and its ruling coalition results are even stronger that…
Takaichi’s Gamble Pays Off.
Takaichi Sanae's Gamble has paid off. She has broken the mould of Japanese politics with an aspirational, personality driven appeal to disgruntled voters and those weary of traditional politics. None of Takaichi's policy proposals were economically scrutinised in the campaign.…
New Cold War: The Inveitable Internationalisation of the Renminbi
China has the will and the means to replace the dollar in trade. It will overcome the obstacles and do so. The result will be a significant step down in the dollar's international role and in US power projection associated with the "Exorbitant Privilege".
Peter Lewis Money Talk: The Warsh Appointment; The Metals Market Meltdown, and the Japanese elections.
Peter Lewis Money Talk: The Warsh Appointment; The Metals Market Meltdown, and the Japanese el;ections.