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Navigator - ME More War to seize Gulf

QS Team ·12 Apr 2026

Navigator - ME More War to seize Gulf The failure of the Peace Talks means there will be more military action. It is unlikely that the US can afford to return the massive scale of war promised us before. Economically and politically, that is too costly. Inst…

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Report

The Defeat of the Deal.

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·08 Apr 2026

The Defeat of the Deal. This deal is taco with a price tag. For markets no war is a win. For investors it leaves us in Limbo- not Heavan or Hell. For the Iranian regime they emerge as the strategic victor from the war. It achieves lots of IRGC objectiv…

Report

Navigator: Middle East – The Barebones

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·06 Apr 2026

Navigator: Middle East – The Barebones Here we look at 4 potential outcomes of the Middle East War through the lense of energy prices and demand destruction that matches the outcome. Demand destruction is measured in terms of: the required reduction in global energy c…

Media

ET Now News: David Roche: The Gulf! 3 Outcomes & 3 Oil Prices - Demand Destruction & Supply Chain Transmission Slowness!

David Roche ·06 Apr 2026

This broadcast by ET Now is different! It looks at the impact of legnthy supply chains upon the energy crises in oil importing markets. It examines what amount of demand destruction and what level of oil prices would overcome the inadequacy of supply due to the ME War (a hole of…

Report

ME War – What Moves Matters

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·02 Apr 2026

ME War – What Moves Matters. This report measures disruption from the Gulf and Red Sea combined. Despite already being disrupted the Red Sea can add a lot more in terms of energy, freight costs, food, fertilizer and metals. This will be an inevitability if President Trump e…

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Podcast

Peter Lewis Money Talk: The Interesting Question of What A Defeated Trump. Would Leave in His Wake?

Podcast ·David Roche ·01 Apr 2026

Peter Lewis Money Talk An in-depth look at the nature of the Middle East energy crisis. Why it will outlast the US War. And what happens geopolitically, economically to the region and to markets if a defeated Trump goes home?

Report

Navigator: The Oil Price – What drives it?

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·31 Mar 2026

Navigator: The Oil Price – What drives it? It is the flow of oil in and out of crude reserves that drives the oil price and NOT the level or adequacy of inventories. The Middle East War creates a 12.5mn to 20mn bpd hole in global supply. That means every week oil drains out…

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