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RTHK The Close.

Podcast ·David Roche ·03 Feb 2025

RTHK The Close: Carolyn Wright speaks with David Roche, President and Global Strategist at Quantum Strategy, and Hugh Chung, Chief Investment Officer at Endowus about the news impacting the global financial markets. Topics include tariffs, AI and India.

Media

The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters

Video ·David Roche ·03 Feb 2025

David Roche- Quantum Strategy - The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters: Trump - Tariffs - and You! Indian Exceptionalism! The BoE and its coming 25 bp contribution to UK economic mediocrity... .....And this weeks data that may matter to markets

News

Rules of Thump - the China, Canada & Mexico Factor - Reminder

Update ·QS Team ·03 Feb 2025

As a P.S. to the Rules of Thump - the Canadian, Chinese and Mexican Tariffs. My rough calculations of the Tariff hit to economies outside the US were included in the Friday (1/31) Update sent to you. But to summarise: The effect of these (1/31 Canadian, China & Mexica…

Report

Rules of Thump - Tariffs - China, Canada, Mexico

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·03 Feb 2025

Investment Conclusion. Tariffs have pride of place in President Trump’s toolbox. We have only seen them applied to fentanyl and immigration so far. But they can and will be used as instruments to correct perceived economic imbalances and imperialist territorial ambitions. T…

News

Rules of Thump - Tariffs - E-Mail Update

Update ·David Roche ·03 Feb 2025

Tariffs: Rules of Thump . This is a follow up to my e-mail to to you on Trump's Tariffs last Friday (1/31) & the 2 reports Astern (1/08) & The McKInley Factor (1/26). Cantext; The Mexico, Canada, China tariffs ("Tariffs 1/31") declared by President Trump so far are only…

News

Trump Delivers the Tariffs as Expected

Update ·David Roche ·31 Jan 2025

Trump Delivers. President Trump has announced the imposition of 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada and 10% on imports from China. The tariffs will be effective immediately (Sat, Feb 1). At time of writing It is not clear whether there are exemptions (e.g. fo…

News

The ECB & the Fed -- Some Points to Ponder.

Update ·David Roche ·30 Jan 2025

Central Banks There were a few interesting things from the ECB and FOMC meetings: ECB Mme LaGarde is convinced that the Eurozone recovery is happening and will accelerate as inflation falls and real incomes rise. Real income will rise because wage increases will …

Report

DeepSeek – Deeply Seeking the Significance.

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·28 Jan 2025

DeepSeek disrupts Tech creating as many winners (AI users) as losers (the overhyped US Magnificent 7 and Chatbot purveyors). It puts Chinese selected tech companies back on the radar for international investors. But most of all it hefts China’s strategic position in the Greyzone…

News

Deep Seek - Deeply Seeking the Significance .

Update ·QS Team ·28 Jan 2025

DeepSeek Disruption: Tech, Economic, Geopolitical DeepSeek disruption to AI Chatbots/LLMs, like ChatGPT4 and to suppliers of AI semiconductors like Nvidia, is significant. It can also change forecasts for ever rising electricity demand from data centres. But by corol…

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