News Library
Showing All Results
Update: US Container traffic and Escalation in the Baltics and Ukraine?
Investment Conclusion President Trump will get more extreme on tariffs. Watch China & the EU. Russia will escalate in Ukraine after a significant hi tech defeat. Neither is bullish for financial assets. If Putin escalates in the Baltic on top of his current escalation t…
Uncertainty as a Certainty – Wealth Preservation Portfolio
Uncertainty as a Certainty – Wealth Preservation Portfolio Investment Conclusion There are no changes to the Wealth Preservation Portfolio this week. The ruling by the US Court of International Trade (USCIT), that the President’s use of the International Emergency Ec…
Trump Trade Policies in disarray
The US Court of International trade has ruled that the Trump Administration’s trade tariffs, both reciprocal and fentanyl, are illegal. The US Court of International Trade says Trump overstepped his authority - using a 1977 federal economic emergency law. The law does not …
RTHK: The Close With Carolyn Wright, Richard Harris and David Roche: Trump's "Big Ugly Bill"
RTHK The Close.- Trump's Big Ugly Bill Why markets are ignoring Trump and are wrong to do so.
Port of Los Angeles Data for Container Ship Arrivals up to June 14
The Port of Los Angeles Data as of May 26 for the period to June 14 shows some recovery of inbound container verssels to +/- 100,000 TEU per week. This level remains well below the same period in the previous year. Evidence of a surge in shipments from China is absent.
Wealth Preservation Portfolio (WPP) - Update
Wealth Protction Portfolio - Update Investment Conclusion There is no change in my pessimistic view of the current rally in risk assets. The only change in the WPP this week is to add some risk diversification in the form of Hong Kong equities (the Tracker) – see: …
Doing an Odd Thing – Hong Kong
Doing an Odd Thing – Hong Kong Investment Conclusion I am buying some HK equities. HK assets are a diversification of US policy risks. The worse it goes for the US, the more money pours back into HK. The HK$ peg does the rest. The inflows surge domestic liquidity. …
Peter Lewis Money Talk! China where’s the tariff hit? Is Kong Kong Back?
Peter Lewis Money Talk! * China where’s the tariff hit? *. Is Kong Kong Back?
RTHK: The Close with James Ross and Richard Harris and David Roche
US Tariffs - the granular anaysis of what is being affected and what is likely to come. The equity market unsustinable or not.
 March 2025_Thumbnail.jpeg)
US Treasury International Capital Data for March - Too early to say!
Short US$ is a core position in the Wealth Preservation Portfolio. Investment flows in and out of the US$ need to be monitored. The TICS data for the month of March do not provide any indication of substantial outflows happening. But that could only be expected after April …