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Tariffying!
Tariffying! US “remedial” tariffs to be announced on April 2 will raise the US effective tariff rate to above 15% - a level not seen since the Great Depression era. This is above the level needed to cause Tariff-Induced-Stagflation in the US economy. The announcement will co…
The Call - Dial "M" for Moscow.
The Call - Dial "M" for Moscow “ The absence of war is not peace and can be the prelude to war” Putin offered Trump just enough to prevent a breakdown in negotiations. The sectorial “Truce” is meaningless. Putin will use upcoming talks to pursue Russia’s maxim…
The Wealth Protection Portfolio - What's happening
Wealth Protection Portfolio - What's Going On This is what has been going on in the Wealth Protection Portfolio (“WPP"). C hanges are updated since March 1 in the text and the comes the WPP with recent and ongoing changes in red. Overarching theme : removal of expos…
Money Talk with Peter Lewis & Francis Lun
It is all about Trump.
RTHK: The Close: Trump Policy …………….. Trump What? Did i hear you right?
RTHK: The Close: Trump Policy …………….. Trump What? Did i hear you right?
War Dividend
War Dividend A tectonic plateshift has started. There will be a War Dividend to recoup the Peace Dividend since the Fall of the Berlin Wall. Events in Europe will cause a global arms race as Alliances break down and nations and blocs “go it alone”. Defence demand will far exc…
Taiwan- Canary in the Coal Mine
Taiwan- Canary in the Coal Mine The disruption of the North Atlantic Alliance and the Liberal World Order are being acted upon by Beijing. Beijing beleives that these events reinforce its conviction that democracy is too decadent to defend itself and that the US will not…
The ECB - Seascapes, Poetry & more rate cuts to come.
ECB Policy Meeting. Conclusion: ECB will continue to cut rates by 25bp in each of the next two meetings. The ECB did as expected: 25bp off all three policy rates and changed to language on monetary stance from being restrictive to a more neutral stance. The…
Alarming for War
Financial market make no provision for the cost of economic nationalism, the destruction of alliances and the alignment of Russia and the US in an "obsedo-alliance". This will change. When it does expect recession or worse. The Confidence, Credit and Wealth loops from financi…
Arming For War
The markets make no allowance for the diruption of economic nationalism, the destruction of global alliances and the the preparation of inevitable war. This report rips the veil of denial with 5 bullet points on one page.