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“Exceptionalism” and the USD
This update looks at US “Exceptionalism” and USD strength. The drivers of both are international equity flows as much as safe haven demand for US assets or central bank activity.. The investment conclusions are that a bear market in US equities would have have negative implic…
US "Exceptionalism" and the USD - the drivers.
How US "Exceptionalism", and the bull market in the US$ and US equities are linked. Since just before the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, foreigners' holdings of US financial assets has risen from US$ 20 trn. to US$ 30 trn. Of this increase 10% was down to increased holding by …
CNBC Market Alert: - Why US "exceptionalism" will fail this year
CNBC Market Alert: - Why US "exceptionalism" will fail this year and how tariffs will be a major cause.
CNBC News Talk: Trump and Europe the Visceral Hate Thing
CNBC News Talk: Trump and Europe the Visceral Hate Thing
CNBC News Talk: The Impact of Tariffs on China.
CNBC News Talk: The Impact of Tariffs on China.
RTHK The Close.
RTHK The Close: Carolyn Wright speaks with David Roche, President and Global Strategist at Quantum Strategy, and Hugh Chung, Chief Investment Officer at Endowus about the news impacting the global financial markets. Topics include tariffs, AI and India.
The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters
David Roche- Quantum Strategy - The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters: Trump - Tariffs - and You! Indian Exceptionalism! The BoE and its coming 25 bp contribution to UK economic mediocrity... .....And this weeks data that may matter to markets
Rules of Thump - the China, Canada & Mexico Factor - Reminder
As a P.S. to the Rules of Thump - the Canadian, Chinese and Mexican Tariffs. My rough calculations of the Tariff hit to economies outside the US were included in the Friday (1/31) Update sent to you. But to summarise: The effect of these (1/31 Canadian, China & Me…
Rules of Thump - Tariffs - China, Canada, Mexico
Investment Conclusion. Tariffs have pride of place in President Trump’s toolbox. We have only seen them applied to fentanyl and immigration so far. But they can and will be used as instruments to correct perceived economic imbalances and imperialist territorial ambitions. T…
Rules of Thump - Tariffs - E-Mail Update
Tariffs: Rules of Thump . This is a follow up to my e-mail to to you on Trump's Tariffs last Friday (1/31) & the 2 reports Astern (1/08) & The McKInley Factor (1/26). Cantext; The Mexico, Canada, China tariffs ("Tariffs 1/31") declared by President Trump so far …