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The Venezuelan Oil Deal- Shades of Conrad’s Nostromo

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·30 Aug 2026

The Venezuelan Oil Deal- Shades of Conrad’s Nostromo The “deal” could lift Venezuelan oil output from 1.25mn bpd to 3mn bpd within five years, requiring about US$100bn of investment. Bigger numbers will be advertised. This is the plausible case. That would add roughly 1-2% to glo…

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Venezuela: Now Comes the Hard Part!

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·07 Jan 2026

Venezuela: Now Comes the Hard Part! This analysis focuses on the reasons why there is no bonanza in waiting for the US in terms of Venezuelan oil capture. In brief: It's the wrong sort of oil and there is little global demand for it. Costs of getting it out of the gr…

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