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ME The Gulf: After – Matters
ME The Gulf: After – Matters Investment Strategy. Brent oil spiked above $100. That was the limit set in “ME - What Matter Matters?” to sell the rest of the long Brent position. The 50% of the long oil position that remained was sold and the proceeds added to gold.…
NDTV - The Surprises of War.
NDTV - The Surprises of War. The geopolitical, economic and financial market consequences of this badly planned, long war in pursuit un-defined goals.
ME – What Matters Matter?
ME – What Matters Matter? We are probably at the point of maximum Iranian war disruption. Long oil hedge is being cut 50% and will be sold completely if Brent goes above US$100/bbl. The reasons: · Massive naval power being refocused on Gulf shipping security. So…
EU Gulf (or US?) Vulnerability
EU Gulf (or US?) Vulnerability The blow out in EU TTF Natural Gas Futures is a short term market squeeze. Stay away from it. EU gas markets are fairly soundly balanced, Vulnerability to Middle East disruption is very low. The biggest risks are still high dependence on Rus…
Peter Lewis Money Talk - with Richard Harris & David Roche: The Middle East: Global Crisis or Short Term Interrruption
Peter Lewis Money Talk - with Richard Harris & David Roche: What would make the Iran crisis into a global economic crisis???? Parameters to watch!
NDTV War in the West: The Implications of Iran’s Offensive Strategy
NDTV WAR IN THE WEST;: Iran’s strategy aims are regime survival and maximising damage to global energy supply and Gulf State and Western economies. Can it deliver? We assess Tehran’s military arsenal and economic weapons such as de facto closure of the Straits of Hormuz. I…
Middle East Update
Middle East Update Investment Conclusion Conflict will be more prolonged. Oil disruption may be longer lasting and be more substantial than I previously thought. QS is putting back on long Brent positions and adding back 10% to Gold and other hard assets. NOT using …
CNBC Asia Squawk Box - The Imminent End of the Mullahs?
CNBC Squawk Box Asia with Martin Soong and Chery Kang: The end of the mullahs - great! But it’s how we get there that matters to markets.
Tariffs – The Aftermath
Tariffs – The Aftermath Investment Conclusion. We are far from done with volatility from Tariffs and Trade. The use of S.122 of the Trade Act 1974 is illegal in my judgement. It is also unfit for purpose as a policy to “correct” the US trade deficit. This leaves …
NDTV & Quantum Strategy - US Supreme Court Tariff Special - Full 1hr Panel Discussion
This is the full panel discussion of the US Supreme Court ruling on the legality of President Trump’s use of IEEPA tariffs. It covers what happpens next. The economic and geopolitical impact. And who wins and loses.