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Conviction 2 - Middle East OIL

QS Team ·23 Sep 2026

Conviction 2 — ME Oil Everyone's fighting over whose Hormuz-escaping barrel count is bigger this week. Quantum Strategy cuts through the noise with two numbers that matter: an 8mn bpd crude deficit against peacetime supply, which widens to a 12mn bpd refined product shortfall onc…

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Navigator: China - EU Trade Hostilities & Energy Myths

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·08 Jun 2026

Navigator China EU Trade Hostilities & Energy Myths Four themes this week. (WhatsApp clients have received early briefing on themes in BLUE) 1. Trade War between the EU and China is now inevitable. 2. Chinese sell off of strategic crude oil reserves an…

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Oil Prices & China's Vanishing Imports

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·08 Jun 2026

What started as a WhatsApp update to clients on Friday is now a formal QS Macro Research Note. As headlines swirled around oil supplies and China's import trajectory, David Roche flagged a dynamic most market participants are missing: it's not demand destruction driving the pric…

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ME – What Matters Matter?

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·08 Mar 2026

ME – What Matters Matter? We are probably at the point of maximum Iranian war disruption. Long oil hedge is being cut 50% and will be sold completely if Brent goes above US$100/bbl. The reasons: · Massive naval power being refocused on Gulf shipping security. So…

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Middle East Update

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·01 Mar 2026

Middle East Update Investment Conclusion Conflict will be more prolonged. Oil disruption may be longer lasting and be more substantial than I previously thought. QS is putting back on long Brent positions and adding back 10% to Gold and other hard assets. NOT using …

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Energy Peak Update

Archive Report ·David Roche ·12 May 2004

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

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