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Navigator: New Chokepoints and New Themes

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·13 Jul 2026

Navigator: New Chokepoints and New Themes We have a new Chokepoint and a New War. It is the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea. It is the first offensive ever to be based 100% on Drones (with a few missiles thrown in for effect). It has global implications. This all smacks …

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Le Pen – Après Moi le Quoi?

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·01 Apr 2025

Le Pen Conviction - Apres Moi Le Quoi? QS has been short 10yr French Sovereign debt since July 3, 2024. No change in this conviction but it may be a slower ride. It is early days. But the most likely upshot of the constitutional crisis caused by the Le Pen conviction …

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France- Plus Ca Change, Plus Ca Reste La Meme Chose.

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·24 Dec 2024

Investment Conclusion PM Bayrou presented his government yesterday. It is a weak one by any measure. There will be no fiscal or other reform in France. Populists will take over in June. Yet another weak short lived French government has spillover effects. It increases the risk of…

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