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The Fracturing of OPEC - UAE quits OPEC on May 1

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·28 Apr 2026

The Fracturing of OPEC - UAE quits OPEC on May 1 UAE quitting OPEC means: · No change in oil prices or oil supply in short term as UAE oil outlets are constrained by Gulf blockades. · Long term UAE oil output could painlessly double to 6mn bpd. This would …

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AfterWar - War Damage and How Economies Recover

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·26 Apr 2026

AfterWar - Counting War Damage & Mapping How Economies Heal This report counts the economic damage from a forever loss of 10% of global Oil and Gas supply. That’s about half the current shortfall created by the Gulf shipping paralysis. The cost is that global GDP …

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