News Library
Showing All Results
Navigator
This week we publish "The 8 Disruptions" or why consensus flat world forecasts are wrong. The BoJ will be key in first stage of the battle for central bank independence in Japan . We expect it raise rate to 0.75bp. But if Ueda chickens out JGB 1pyr yields will decisive…
The Fed and the BOJ: The Manichaean War for Central Bank Independence
The Fed and the BOJ More Fed cuts to come....but not the sort that will contiue to inspire confidence in equity markets. In Japan the battle for central bnk independence will be declared when Ueda raises rate by 75BP in the BoJ December meeting. That will …
Time Past & Time Future
Time Past & Time Future. What this piece discusses: Why markets are where they are - across all categories? Six drivers are isolated. Can what got us here take us further? What would have to happen for that be our fate? What do consensus forecast expect for 2025? Wha…
Peter Lewis Money Talk: A Lively Debate on China Trade Strategy, THe US Strategy PLan & Why Bond Markets Turn Against Fed Cuts
Peter Lewis Money Talk: A Lively Debate on China Trade Strategy, THe US Strategy PLan & Why Bond Markets Turn Against Fed Cuts
NDTV profit. - The Fed, The BoJ, the Yen & the Carry Trade.
NDTV profit. - The Fed, The BoJ, the Yen & the Carry Trade.
Navigator.
Navigator. The publication of the US National Security Strategy last week might be written off as a Trump rant (on the lines of his UN speech) if it did not name the EU as an enemy to be undermined by US support for extremists. It is hard to see how the US and Europe can…
Navigator
Navigator I am biting the bullet and cutting Japanese equity and yen positions. Keeping the short yen on. The reason is twofold: disastrous budget that will push 10yr Japanese JGB yields above Bund's at 2.7% ; and China putting Japan in the crosshairs to make an ex…
The New Cold War – How China Wins It! (The New Cold War - Part III: An investor’s Guide)
The New Cold War – How China Wins It! ( The New Cold War - Part III: An investor’s Guide) China may not always have intended to replace the US at the top of the global pecking order: geopolitically, militarily and economically. But it does now. This piece looks …
Navigator (The Replacement of Oddbins)
Navigator. The QS team tells me that “Odd bins” is a bad name because investors don’t want to look for research in a bin & my writings are garbage enough without associating them with a bin. So the new name is “Navigator”. Investment themes: Markets could be aff…