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Navigator
This week's Navigator takes the plunge: What is causing the Precious Metal and Hard Asset Meltdown? How far will it go? Is the long term story still intact, When to buy again? Middle East will the whole thing turn TACO? Why not? Why every outcome of a war is not be…
Navigator
Navigator I am biting the bullet and cutting Japanese equity and yen positions. Keeping the short yen on. The reason is twofold: disastrous budget that will push 10yr Japanese JGB yields above Bund's at 2.7% ; and China putting Japan in the crosshairs to make an ex…
Odd bins
Odd bins Investment Conclusion A renminbi based international payment and reserve system will take off within a year causing a leg down in the US$’s role as global reserve currency. Gold, not the RMB, will be the reserve asset of choice. Gold will go to US$6000 per t…
Global Shipping: US Titan or Titanic?
Global Shipping - The US: Titan or Titanic Summary Shipping is like dark matter in the Universe. It keeps things expanding smoothly. It runs hypothetically in the background of world affairs like dark matter and energy in the universe. It prevents (stellar or earthly)…
Odd bins: The Portfolio to match the Autumn Strategy Video …. & Shipping
Odd bins: The Portfolio to match the Autumn Strategy Video …. & Shipping Investment Conclusion The Autumn Strategy Video looks at upside and downside risks for financial markets. The upside risks from lower Fed rates are more than offset by the threats to F…
Odd bins: Jackson Hole, Russia & Shipping
Odd bins: Jackson Hole, Russia & Shipping Investment Conclusion : Jackson Hole is a pivot in the Fed’s reaction function which now under-emphasises tariff effects on inflation and over-emphasises the weakening labor market. So more cuts than I thought (3 at le…