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The Fed Minute Fumble
The Fed Minute Fumble The FOMC minutes must be assessed in the context of the US Treasury’s apparent intent to reduce long Treasury yields below market-determined levels. Stay short the US dollar. Stay short US Treasuries. Beware of the AI credit bubble, which will now reach new …
The X-Disruptions: A Mid-2026 Scorecard
We called eight "X-Disruptions" back in December 2025, so six months on, we graded our own homework. The verdict: Fed independence, BoJ/Yen stress, and Europe's defense build-out landed with striking precision, while our bearish equity call missed, but only on US/US-AI names, e…
FED MINUTES: STICKY INFLATION, NO PIVOT – AND JAPAN TAKES THE STRAIN
The Fed's June minutes reveal sticky inflation concerns even as belief in current policy's adequacy fades — David Roche argues rates should rise, not hold. But with the BoJ further behind the curve, he sees the real fallout landing on the Yen (165 to the dollar) and JGB yields,…
Two Central Banks - Two Policies For The Same Target
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