News Library
Showing All Results
Airline Fuel & the Air France/KLM Assurance (Client Q&A example)
Airline Fuel & the Air France/KLM Assurance: When a client flagged that Air France-KLM's CEO had publicly assured markets of no fuel shortage this summer, they wanted to know: does that undermine the thesis? We broke down exactly why it doesn't, a slashed schedule, pre-crisis he…
Navigator: ME: 7 Days in May
Navigator: ME: 7 Days in May. This is the report version of a WhatsApp com sent to clients on June 1. Nothing is moving in the Straits of Hormuz. The ME hole in crude oil supply means the world is on a glide path to fall over the supply cliff in summer and beyond. But…
Peter Lewis Money Talk - AI Boom, China Equities, Oil Inventories
Catch David Roche on Peter Lewis' Money Talk podcast for June 3, as he examines whether the fever pitch in AI fundraising reflects genuine productivity gains or is repeating the excesses of prior tech cycles. He also considers at what point oil inventory levels move from a pri…
The Tomorrow of Financial Repression
The Tomorrow of Financial Repression Nationalist Economic Policies, Protectionism and Financial Repression are usually three peas in a historical pod. We have the first two peas. This piece checks if there are incipient signs of the third, Financial Repression, being o…
David Roche on NDTV Profit: Markets Ignoring Inflation, War & Reality? | David Roche Warns Of A Dangerous Bubble
David Roche on NDTV Profit: Markets Ignoring Inflation, War & Reality? | David Roche Warns Of A Dangerous Bubble David Roche delivers a stark warning on the global economy, oil markets, and the growing disconnect between financial markets and economic reality. With crude oil …
David Roche of Quantum Strategy appeared on CNBC Access Middle East today
David Roche of Quantum Strategy appeared on CNBC Access Middle East today, saying markets are overestimating the likelihood of an Iran peace deal. He noted that oil markets aren’t accurately factoring in current energy supply constraints and warned that a global inflationary sho…
ETO News TV: The putative Trump ME “Deal” - good or bad and meaning for markets.
ETO News TV: The putative Trump ME “Deal” - good or bad and the meaning for markets. Three savvy anchors and myself probe the ins and outs of what we know about the proposed ME “pause” and how it measures up against market red lines.
Navigator: ME - A Great Deal of Defeat
Navigator: ME - A Great Deal of Defeat. This report analyses the putative (not yet confirmed) framework agreement to pause the Middle East War ("the deal") while key issues (such as Iranian de-nuclearisation) are negotiated. The widely leaked adumbrate of the deal …
Energy: The American Chapter – how US bails out the world & then doesn’t!
Energy: The American Chapter – how US bails out the world and then doesn’t! US produces and consumes 20mn bpd of crude oil equivalent. But on top this, the US is exporting 10mn bpd to its “allies” – European, Asian and Australia. Thus, the US is draining its own oil rese…
Navigator – Linking Dots
Navigator – Linking Dots. The global energy supply crisis driven by the Middle East (ME) War is set to get worse. Demand exceeds supply for oil and LNG plus some critical raw materials like sulphur. Absolute product shortages will be generalised by the end of summer. …