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Middle East Energy Update (WhatsApp sent to clients)
Middle East Oil Supply: David Roche's weekend WhatsApp update — now published in full for your reference.
Navigator: Middle East – All Change Here! EU-China Trade – War Without a Strategy. And the Sad End of Elvira Nabiullina.
Navigator: Middle East – All Change Here! EU-China Trade – War Without a Strategy. And the Sad End of Elvira Nabiullina. Here's why you need to read this! The three changes that will affect assets: 1. This Middle East "Deal" may get tankers moving and Iran producing o…
Middle East Energy Update (WhatsApp sent to clients)
Despite mounting claims that clandestine operations are freeing tankers from the Gulf, QS hard data tells a different story: a steady 2.0mn bpd via the Strait of Hormuz, a 12–13mn bpd daily supply shortfall with no change, and a China driving paper price suppression through stra…
RUSI: The Energy Supply Cliff is Alarmingly Near
David Roche's commentary on the energy supply cliff was published by RUSI on 9 June. The published version omitted the table calculating when each major economy reaches the critical inventory floor of 30 days of consumption. We've reinserted it here so readers can review the und…
See David Roche on ET Now: Oil To $150? Global Inflation Shock Just Getting Started?
Oil To $150? Global Inflation Shock Just Getting Started, Warns David Roche | Businss@9 | ET Now US inflation has climbed to 4.2%, marking its highest level in three years and reigniting concerns about a fresh global inflation shock. While rising energy prices drove the surge, st…
Peter Lewis Money Talk- The End of AI ?
Peter Lewis Money Talk China- what does China’s AI international trade tell us about the global AI economy. Does it make AI independent of the “traditional” economic constraints? What role could the ME energy cliff play in ending the AI high roll. Markets beware? Other risks are…
A Fresher Front Door To Quantum Strategy
We've refreshed the Quantum Strategy website and we wanted you to be among the first to know. The new design is a clean, modern visual update built around what you come to us for: Quantum Strategy's research and his track record of calls. Reports and insights are easier t…
Navigator: China - EU Trade Hostilities & Energy Myths
Navigator China EU Trade Hostilities & Energy Myths Four themes this week. (WhatsApp clients have received early briefing on themes in BLUE) 1. Trade War between the EU and China is now inevitable. 2. Chinese sell off of strategic crude oil reserves an…
Oil Prices & China's Vanishing Imports
What started as a WhatsApp update to clients on Friday is now a formal QS Macro Research Note. As headlines swirled around oil supplies and China's import trajectory, David Roche flagged a dynamic most market participants are missing: it's not demand destruction driving the pric…
Urea & Grain Markets (Client Q&A Example)
Urea & Grain Markets: When a client asked why US fertilizer prices were collapsing while grain prices fell simultaneously, we didn't wait for the next research note! We responded in real time. The answer: two separate stories with two separate drivers and confusing them leads t…