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David Roche on ET Now: Oil Nears $90 As West Asia Escalates: What Happens If Hormuz Stays Disrupted?
Iran fires. UAE freezes ties. Oil surges past $90 as 80% of tankers now reroute through the Oman corridor. Two experts, one flashpoint: David Rash says the world is racing toward a $125 oil shock — Sai Akif Zedi says Iran can take the pain, and it's the US that's bleeding. Who's …
King Canute and the Bond Market
King Canute and the Bond MarketInvestment Conclusion The US Treasury is increasing purchases of long-term Treasuries. The stated objective is to improve liquidity. Nobody is fooled. The aim is to control and lower long term US Treasury yields. The policy is ill advised. It won’t …
NDTV Profit: Oil At $125? David Roche Warns Of A September Market Shock | Trump, Iran & Inflation
See David Roche on NDTV Profit as he warns investors are dangerously complacent — pricing in stable disinflation even as oil threatens to spike to $125 and Iran's regional posture tightens supply further. He says inflation can flare back up far faster than markets expect, and Sep…
Navigator: Measure for Measure
Navigator: Measure for Measure The lullaby that the ME war has plateaued into economic irrelevance reached fever pitch this week. Most of the propaganda was unsubstantiated twaddle. The IEA, by contrast, showed continuing inventory drawdowns, which point to inventory exhaustion b…
Putin’s Political Longevity – A Framework of Considerations
Putin’s Political Longevity – A Framework of Considerations by RUSI (Royal United Services Institute), Russia’s leadership vulnerability score has risen from 6.5 to 7.8 in just a year. Quantum Strategy's David Roche uses a historical framework, tested against the USSR in 1991, Eg…
See David Roche on NDTV Profit: Oil Supply Crisis, AI Bubble Risk, and His Case for China and India
David Roche warns that a 16 to 18 million barrel per day global oil deficit, driven by falling Russian exports and surging Chinese demand, is colliding with an AI investment boom built on circular, highly leveraged financing. He sees no economic slowdown on the horizon to ease oi…
Navigator: Great Gas!
Navigator: Great Gas! This week’s Navigator deals with one investment idea (TTF Gas) and one theme - Chokeholds & Energy Scarcity!
David Roche on EO TV (Yen, Gulf, Shipping, Inflation)
David Roche joined EO TV to tackle the questions everyone's asking: → Yen carry trade: what makes currency intervention work, and what makes it fail? → Oil markets are tightening. What's driving it, and why does it set the hurdle rate for any Gulf deal? Watch the full conversatio…
Catch David Roche on Peter Lewis' MONEY TALK - Friday August 7, 2026
MONEY TALK! Peter Lewis, Francis Lun and David Roche get down to the gritty about: US Vs China AI and why China is place to invest; why the Straits of Hormuz deal won’t restore normalcy to energy markets; and what are the implications of the weaponisation of foreign exchange by t…
ME Oil: Supposing Supposing the Straits were unfrozen…..
ME Oil: Supposing Supposing the Straits were unfrozen….. This note provides a toolkit for thinking through what happens if the Strait of Hormuz (SoH) is reopened, either fully or partially — and what happens to oil prices if it is not. The best that can realistically be hoped for…