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Welcome Back! Here's What Moved While You Were Away.
Welcome back from the summer break. In our view, what moved in your absence isn't seven unrelated headlines but one connected regime shift, spanning AI, energy and food, central bank independence, the dollar, and geopolitics and we've pulled it all together in the attached client…
FED MINUTES: STICKY INFLATION, NO PIVOT – AND JAPAN TAKES THE STRAIN
The Fed's June minutes reveal sticky inflation concerns even as belief in current policy's adequacy fades — David Roche argues rates should rise, not hold. But with the BoJ further behind the curve, he sees the real fallout landing on the Yen (165 to the dollar) and JGB yields,…
David Roche Featured on Peter Lewis' Money Talk
David Roche, President and Global Strategist at Quantum Strategy, joins this Wednesday's episode of Peter Lewis' Money Talk podcast alongside Tim Huxley, Chairman of Mandarin Shipping. Bringing a view from Japan is Nick Smith, Japan strategist at CLSA.
See David Roche's Stark Warning! Oil At $90 Could Be Closer Than Markets Think | Business News | ET Now
Catch David Roche on ET Now as he offers a cautious take on the global economy, warning that ongoing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz could disrupt oil markets and push crude prices toward $90 a barrel. He also flags concerns about rising bond yields, inflation, and whether the…
Peter Lewis - Money Talk: US-Iran Peace Talks; Strait of Hormuz & Oil Markets; Federal Reserve Hawkish Pivot; UK Political Transition; China & BoJ Monetary Policy
Peter Lewis - Money Talk: On Tuesday’s Peter Lewis’ Money Talk podcast, Peter is joined by Mark Michelson, Chairman of the Asia CEO Forum at IMA Asia, David Roche, President & Global Strategist at Quantum Strategy, and in Washington D.C., US Economics Correspondent, writer & br…
Navigator
Navigator. There are no changes in the Wealth Preservation Portfolio (WPP) this week. But shorts on Japanese equities and the Yen are now back on the radar screen. WPP appears at the end of this report The most likely scenario in the Middle East is that Iranian negoti…
Japan Election - Follow Up
Japan Election - Follow Up Investment Conclusion There is no change in strategy: short 10yr JGBs; Neutral Nikkei and Yen (but considering a short Vs SGD, AUD and RMB (where I am already long)). The LDP and its ruling coalition results are even stronger that…
CNBC: Europe: Steve & I on whether the only word we need to learn to pronounce next year is "Trump" to which we added Xi, Putin ...
A short history of 2025 - starting with how the reign of Trump could go wrong or right and then applying the same doomster methodology to reading the cards for Xi and Putin.......finishing with a modest forecast for the little old UK.
CNBC Street Signs - Tanvir & I decode what the BoJ thinking is behind decision to stay on hold.
The BoJ chose to do nothing, On the one hand it is afraid to raise rates and then being surprised in a few months when tariffs create deflationary pressure so it has to reduce rates again. On the other hand, if it doesn't raise rates the yen weakens and imported inflation may s…
The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters
Quantum Strategy - The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters: What's happened but matters still: China data; Germany - what the Bundesbank believes; Korea - the constitutional crisis; & France - why a decent PM makes no difference - no reform before the populists take over. And to come…