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The AI Trade Too Big To Fail
David Roche argues that US AI investment, now over $3.1 trillion and rising, may be too big to fail without first failing. With China matching ~90% of US model performance at a fraction of the cost, and hundreds of billions in debt and off-balance-sheet commitments propping up hy…
Deutschland Unter Allem
Deutschland Unter Allem The AfD victory wrecks Germany’s prospects of economic reforms and should destroy any vestiges of financial market optimism. That is a serious dough-nut hole in the core of Europe’s economic and political aspirations. And it calls into question the defence…
Catch David Roche on Peter Lewis' Money Talk today September 7th 2026
Catch David Roche on Peter Lewis' Money Talk today: David Roche, Peter Lewis and Alex Wong make a great team in debating the rise in sovereign bond yields, are the key drivers inflation, sovereign debt sustainability, or competing bond supply from AI? They then explore the conseq…
Saxony-Anhalt Election: Bad for Bunds & Should Be for the Euro
Saxony-Anhalt Election: Bad for Bunds & Should Be for the Euro The AfD's landslide win in Saxony-Anhalt, at nearly 44% of the vote, marks a new stage in German politics: coalition strategies built to contain extremist parties are visibly failing, and Chancellor Merz's federal coa…
Sovereign Debt – Global Consequences & the Chinese Dichotomy
Sovereign Debt – Global Consequences & the Chinese Dichotomy Sovereign bond yields will go on rising. The two drivers: inflation and fiscal deficits, will both deteriorate and see to that. Energy inflation will rise as inventories continue to fall. The Hunger Wave of disrupted gl…
David Roche is speaking at FundForum Asia 2026! (Sep 29-30 in Singapore)
David Roche is speaking at FundForum Asia 2026! Connect with 500+ senior professionals attending Asia's premier wealth gathering on 29-30 September. Join me and save 10% with my discount code >> https://lnkd.in/ggJTi69X
Welcome Back! Here's What Moved While You Were Away.
Welcome back from the summer break. In our view, what moved in your absence isn't seven unrelated headlines but one connected regime shift, spanning AI, energy and food, central bank independence, the dollar, and geopolitics and we've pulled it all together in the attached client…
David Roche forudså Sovjetunionens fald. Nu giver han Putin ét år (He was one of the few who predicted the collapse of the Soviet Union. Now he gives Putin one year)
📰 He was one of the few who called the collapse of the Soviet Union, decades before it happened, and later called Putin's full-scale invasion of Ukraine a year before it happened. Now veteran strategist David Roche says Vladimir Putin has one year left. In this interview with Be…
📺 Catch David Roche and Dan Murphy on CNBC’s Access Middle East today discussing the U.S.-Venezuela deal.
📺 Catch David Roche and Dan Murphy on CNBC’s Access Middle East today discussing the U.S.-Venezuela deal. David Roche says Venezuela could boost oil production from about 1.2–1.3 million to 3 million barrels per day, but only with around $100 billion in investment over five year…
📺See David Roche and Dan Murphy on CNBC Access Middle East today.
📺See David Roche and Dan Murphy on CNBC Access Middle East today: David believes oil flows from the Strait of Hormuz are probably much lower than U.S. estimates. He notes that although Washington’s economic pressure on Tehran is increasing, it’s unlikely to alter Iran’s goal of …