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US Derivatives: Small Tail to Wag Big Dog

David Roche ·26 Sep 2026

INVESTMENT CONCLUSION The bottom line of all the bottom lines is higher inflation, interest rate stress in AI and private credit, and central banks forced to tighten. US energy prices go up, not down. Global refined product supply falls, agriculture takes another supply side hit,…

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Middle East Energy Update (WhatsApp sent to clients)

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·11 Jun 2026

Despite mounting claims that clandestine operations are freeing tankers from the Gulf, QS hard data tells a different story: a steady 2.0mn bpd via the Strait of Hormuz, a 12–13mn bpd daily supply shortfall with no change, and a China driving paper price suppression through stra…

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Iran – the Beginning of the End!

Quantum Strategy ·David Roche ·11 Jan 2026

Iran – the Beginning of the End! It may take time. But all roads lead to the same outcome. Some are smooth. Others are bloody. But the Iranian regime is doomed. Compared to Venezuela re-integrating Iran into the comity of civilised nations will be a cinch. Econo…

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Absolutism Is A Bad Thing

Archive Report ·David Roche ·23 Oct 2023

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

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Mirrored Mistakes

Archive Report ·David Roche ·04 Jan 2023

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

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Oil To Boil

Archive Report ·David Roche ·04 Nov 2022

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

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The Broken Plate 2 - The Fragments

Archive Report ·David Roche ·13 Jun 2022

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

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Fighting The Wrong Fight

Archive Report ·David Roche ·22 Apr 2020

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

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Canada - Northern Exposure - Often Leads To Frostbite

Archive Report ·David Roche ·21 Mar 2016

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

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Credo

Archive Report ·David Roche ·19 Jan 2016

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

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