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Port of Los Angeles Container Data Bookings May 18 to June 7
The Port of LA accounts for 40% of all ship board container traffic into the US. About 50% of its inward shipments are from China. So its a good indicator. The port is showing year on year falls in total inward container shipments between May 25 and June 07 of between 1…
Talking to Tony on Why if Trump wins the War on Trade the US$ is doomed as global reserve currency
Talking to Tony on why if Trump wins the War on Trade, the US$ is doomed as global reserve currency. Of course, lack of trust in the US, alienation of allies and the damage to US economic performance would all play a role. But mechanically smaller US current account deficits wil…
Update: US Import Surge? Port of Los Angeles Update May 15, 2025 - No surge yet!
Port of Los Angeles in-bound container traffic forecast for next three weeks. The forward booking for container traffic (in TEU) until May 31 does not yet show a surge in US imports. The data through May 31 (week 22) are shown in the graphic updated on May 15, 202…
RTHK -The Close: Does the world need to replace the US$ as global reserve currency and can it be done?
Does the world need to replace the US$ as global reserve currency and can it be done? A debate between Richard Harris, Carolyn Wright and David Roche.
The Phoney Peace?
The Phoney Peace? Investment Conclusion The market reaction to reduced US-China tariffs is unwarranted. The S&P 500 has clawed back all of its post Liberation Day losses and is only 5% below its peak. The existing tariffs and uncertainty will do a lot more…
Port of los angeles data for next three weeks. Issued on 05.11.2025
Port of los Angeles data for next three weeks: inward Container Ship Traffic. Issued on 05.11.2025 The big recovery in weeks out has gone. We are looking at a 20% to 25% decline in container ship arrivals. That equates to a “stop” of Chinese inward container traffic to LA…
The Wealth Preservation Portfolio
Wealth Preservation Portfolio - Weekly Update - 05.07.2025 The markets are priced for a normalisation of global trade. I do not believe this will happen. The conversation between China and the US will not lead us back to normal trade. Tariffs will settle at 20% on average…
RTHK - The Close
Movie Tariffs and the dangerous precedent of putting tariffs on services.
Taiwan & HK: Butterfly Wings & Chaos?
Taiwan & HK: Butterfly Wings & Chaos? Investment Conclusion. The Taiwanese dollar (TWD) and the Hong Kong dollar (HKD) are under upward pressure. There are idiosyncratic reasons for this delved into below. But the real culprit is the fall of confidence in the…
Peter Lewis Money Talk
An in-depth discussion of Trump policies on Tariffs and Alliances. Mark Nicholsen, Barry Woods, Peter Lewis and David Roche discuss: has uncertainty peaked? Why no damage yet to US economy? The delay factor inherent in disruption to supply chains. The future of the US$ safe have…