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Welcome Back! Here's What Moved While You Were Away.
Welcome back from the summer break. In our view, what moved in your absence isn't seven unrelated headlines but one connected regime shift, spanning AI, energy and food, central bank independence, the dollar, and geopolitics and we've pulled it all together in the attached client…
The X-Disruptions: A Mid-2026 Scorecard
We called eight "X-Disruptions" back in December 2025, so six months on, we graded our own homework. The verdict: Fed independence, BoJ/Yen stress, and Europe's defense build-out landed with striking precision, while our bearish equity call missed, but only on US/US-AI names, e…
Peter Lewis - Money Talk: US-Iran Peace Talks; Strait of Hormuz & Oil Markets; Federal Reserve Hawkish Pivot; UK Political Transition; China & BoJ Monetary Policy
Peter Lewis - Money Talk: On Tuesday’s Peter Lewis’ Money Talk podcast, Peter is joined by Mark Michelson, Chairman of the Asia CEO Forum at IMA Asia, David Roche, President & Global Strategist at Quantum Strategy, and in Washington D.C., US Economics Correspondent, writer & br…
CNBC Street Signs - Tanvir & I decode what the BoJ thinking is behind decision to stay on hold.
The BoJ chose to do nothing, On the one hand it is afraid to raise rates and then being surprised in a few months when tariffs create deflationary pressure so it has to reduce rates again. On the other hand, if it doesn't raise rates the yen weakens and imported inflation may s…
The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters
Quantum Strategy - The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters: What's happened but matters still: China data; Germany - what the Bundesbank believes; Korea - the constitutional crisis; & France - why a decent PM makes no difference - no reform before the populists take over. And to come…
Central Bank Forecast post US Non-Farm Payrolls
US Non-Farm Payrolls : The Non-Farm Payrolls report shows that only 12,000 positions were added in October (much lower than the exp. 100k, average compiled by Dow Jones) US Unemployment rate is unchanged at 4.1%, in line with expectations. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) sai…
CNBC Squawk Box: Japanese Election Result- Meaning for Markets
Japanese elections mean weak coalition government. Markets will see Yen weaken - Boj stops normalising policy. Weak yen and likelihood of fiscal packages (to buy votes) means stringer equities. JGB tields will rise reflecting bigger deficits.
Money Talk with Peter Lewis: China Policy - assessing the equity market blow off and how sustainable it is
A great discussion of China's market ramp and its sustainability with Peter Lewis and Enzio Pfeil- everything from culture to Hayek
Japan- The LDP leadership election - Why leadership matters
Leadership matters in Japan with the biggest impact being on regional security
RTHK: The Close- Tech Grayzone Warfare, China Deflation & the US Presidential Election
RTHK - The Close- Tech Grayzone Warfare, China Deflation & the US Presidential Election